How new-build apartments sell in Russia's largest regions month by month, and what the key rate, the dollar and mortgage programs were doing at the time. Data from DOM.RF and the Bank of Russia, .
A ready paragraph for the selected region for the latest month. All numbers come from the table below; the wording is careful: “new-build mortgages”, not “sales”.
Calculated automatically from the series; usable as subheadings.
Three panels on one timeline. Top: primary-market mortgage loans issued per month; below: the key rate at month end and the average dollar rate. Numbers mark mortgage and rate decisions, listed under the chart. The slider at the bottom narrows the period.
Residential area in buildings under construction at month end: how much is already sold, how much is on sale awaiting buyers, and how many square metres are not yet on sale. This is the state of construction on a date, not monthly sales: when a building is completed, its square metres leave the indicator.
The share of residential area in the region's buildings under construction that is sold, on sale but unsold, or not yet on sale, at the end of the latest month. Sorted by construction volume. Click a row to switch region.
SoldOn sale, unsoldNot yet on sale
The share of residential area sold in buildings scheduled for completion this year, at the same month of each year. The lower it is, the more apartments developers will have to sell in finished buildings.
The completion year is the planned one, from the developer's project declaration. Buildings already completed are excluded; a postponed deadline moves a building to the next year.
All residential area under construction in the region by planned completion year: how much is sold, on sale but unsold, or not yet on sale.
SoldOn sale, unsoldNot yet on sale
How many equity-participation contracts (DDU) Rosreestr registered per half-year, and how many new-build mortgages were issued in the same months. This is the actual number of deals, but it is published only twice a year.
DDU covers all contracts, including parking spaces and storage rooms, so the gap between the bars is not the number of apartments bought without a mortgage. Rosreestr data are published via EMISS, Russia's official statistics portal: the first half-year by September, the full year by March.
New-build mortgage lending by region and its change versus the same month last year. Sorted by change. Click a row to switch region.
Primary-market lending by month, one line per year. The play button adds years one by one.
Correlation of the year-on-year change in the key rate with the year-on-year change in primary-market lending, at lags of 0–12 months.
Correlation shows timing, not cause: demand was shaped at the same time by the rate, subsidized programs, the exchange rate and buyer expectations.
Developers' revenue divided by square metres sold in buildings under construction. These are real contract prices, not listings.
The share of all the region's mortgage loans in a month that went to new builds. Shows how much the primary market relies on subsidized programs.
The same series as in the charts. The button copies the table in a format Excel and Google Sheets understand.